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A man looks at an electric board displaying the Nikkei stock average outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan June 14, 2023. Overnight the S&P 500 (.SPX) had climbed 1%, while oil prices and the U.S. dollar had fallen. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields are about 15 basis points off 16-year highs, though they crept higher in Asia trade Tuesday to 4.7331%. The euro traded at $1.0549 and the yen hovered just short of the 150-per-dollar mark at 149.53. If investors don't receive the coupon payment, all of Country Garden's offshore debts will be deemed in default.
Persons: Kim Kyung, Kerry Craig, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Johnson, Craig, Joe Biden, Israel, Israel's shekel, Bitcoin, Selena Li, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Tokyo's Nikkei, U.S ., Morgan Asset Management, Bank of America, Johnson, Netflix, Federal Reserve, Israel, Hamas, Iran's, HK, Brent, BlackRock, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, HONG KONG, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Gaza, Iran, Zealand, Brent
Asia shares pick up after Fed rate comments; oil dips
  + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Kane Wu | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
U.S. stocks ended higher on Monday, with energy shares rising along with oil prices. The S&P 500 energy index (.SPNY) ended up 3.5%. Oil prices eased after climbing more than 4% on Monday. "The unrest and volatility in the near-term suggest that upside risks to oil prices will persist," said OCBC economists in a note. This will lead to some volatility in oil prices during intense periods of conflict but should see prices normalize, following the knee-jerk reaction."
Persons: Androniki, Kerry Craig, Australia's, Brent, Kane Wu, Stella Qiu, Edmund Klamanhn, Kim Coghill Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, dovish, Top Fed, Hamas, Asset Management, Garden Holdings, HK, National Bank of Australia, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, HONG KONG, East, Europe, U.S, Asia Pacific, China, Israel, Palestinian, Gaza, Hong Kong, Sydney
MSCI's gauge of Asia Pacific stocks outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was up 1.2% at 0135 GMT. Japan's benchmark Nikkei average (.N225) rose 2.4% while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 (.AXJO) rose for a fourth straight session to gain 1.2%. Top Fed officials indicated on Monday that rising Treasury yields could steer the Fed from further rate increases, helping to spur a rise in bond prices after those markets had been closed the previous day in the U.S. and Tokyo. The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, analysts from National Bank of Australia said in a note. Ten-year Treasury yields , which have been surging, fell more than 13 basis points to 4.6% at the open in Tokyo as bond prices rallied after Monday's holiday.
Persons: Androniki, Australia's, Kerry Craig, Brent, Kane Wu, Stella Qiu, Edmund Klamanhn Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, dovish, Top Fed, Tokyo ., Hamas, Asset Management, Garden Holdings, HK, National Bank of Australia, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, HONG KONG, Asia Pacific, U.S, Israel, Palestinian, Gaza, Hong Kong, Sydney
HONG KONG, May 16 (Reuters) - Asia stocks mostly held firm on Tuesday, despite weaker-than-expected Chinese economic data, with Japan's broad share index hitting a 33-year high on a rally in chipmakers following U.S. tech sector gains. read moreJapan's Topix (.TOPX) was up 0.5% to 2,125.45 in afternoon trade, after earlier hitting 2,126.14, its highest since August 1990. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) edged 0.32% higher. The dollar index fell 0.029%, with the Japanese yen strengthening 0.10% versus the U.S. currency at 135.98 per dollar. China's benchmark stock index keeping the momentum from Monday's rally and climbing 0.93%.
HONG KONG, May 16 (Reuters) - Asia stocks mostly held firm on Tuesday despite weaker-than-expected Chinese economic data, with investors expecting the world's second-biggest economy to provide policy support. read moreJapan's broad Topix (.TOPX) gained 0.48% to 2,124.92, its highest since August 1990, helped by the robust outlook of its megabanks. read moreRetail sales also missed expectations, and, coming against a backdrop of China's weak industrial, credit growth and import indicators, highlighted a wobbly post-COVID recovery. "The market is thinking that the Fed is done and the U.S. dollar is going to come down a little bit so that supports the markets in Asia," Craig said. The dollar index fell 0.039%, with the Japanese yen strengthening 0.12% versus the U.S. currency at 135.96 per dollar.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMassive shift in supply chain issues from U.S.-China tensions is unlikely, says JPMorganKerry Craig of JPMorgan Asset Management says the United States is, in some ways, "a little bit out of sync with what the rest of the world wants."
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market will probably probe any signs of weakness, JPMorgan saysKerry Craig of JPMorgan Asset Management discusses German Chancellor Olaf Scholz's verbal assurances on Deutsche Bank and stock market jitters on the banking sector.
Bank rescues ease crisis fears, investors still wary
  + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
COMMENTS:KERRY CRAIG, SENIOR STRATEGIST, JPMORGAN ASSET MANAGEMENT"It has been a week of ups and downs for the equity market this week. Then they will take it away gradually and the bank will play out a slow death." ZHIKAI CHEN, HEAD OF ASIA EQUTIES, BNP PARIBAS ASSET MANAGEMENT"The $30 billion deposit injection into First Republic overnight was novel and creative. Its new facility taking eligible securities at par removes the mark to market spiral risk to meet deposits. That said, markets are now suggesting rates hikes may be nearing an end, while inflation continues to rollover."
Asia equities fall on fear of hawkish central bank hikes
  + stars: | 2023-02-22 | by ( Selena Li | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
"It concerns the market that central banks will have to hike rates a lot more to curb inflation," said Kerry Craig, JPMorgan Asset Management's global market strategist. New Zealand's central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to a more than 14-year high of 4.75% on Wednesday. read moreThe central bank said it expected to keep tightening further to ensure inflation returned to its target range over the medium term. Japan's Nikkei share index (.N225) fell 1.25% on Wednesday following a Tuesday PMI report showing the factory sector had contracted. The dollar index fell 0.077%, but analyst expect interest rate rises to lift the dollar, hurting emerging market equities, which benefited from a falling dollar.
U.S. and European equity markets were mixed to lower, with the euro and pound lower against the dollar. The broad pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) was up 0.04% and MSCI's gauge of global stock performance (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.12%. "What's been really important is that the market sees a lower likelihood of rate cuts by the end of the year." Asian stocks stabilized overnight after they, like most global share markets, suffered steep losses following that U.S jobs data. "Sentiment in markets is dominated by central banks and the repricing of rates yet again," Kerry Craig, JPMorgan Asset Management's global market strategist, said.
Sell-off fizzles out ahead of Fed, ECB and BoE speeches
  + stars: | 2023-02-07 | by ( Marc Jones | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
[1/2] The Federal Reserve building is seen in Washington, U.S., January 26, 2022. Then comes Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the Economic Club of Washington during U.S. trading plus U.S. President Joe Biden's State of the Union address. DEADLY QUAKEAmong the main commodities, oil jumped for a second straight session driven by optimism about recovering demand in China, and after Monday's devastating earthquake in Turkey had shut down one of the region's major oil export terminals. "Equities have had a strong run since the start of the year so seeing an air pocket emerge now is no major surprise." Additional reporting by Scoot Murdoch in Sydney; Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore and Jacqueline WongOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Australia's S&P/ASX200 (.AXJO) was trading higher ahead of the Reserve Bank's decision but slid into negative territory after the official cash rate was raised by 25 basis points. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (.HSI) was trading 0.67% higher and China's bluechip CSI300 Index (.CSI300) was up 0.07%. The two-year yield , which rises with traders' expectations of higher Fed fund rates, touched 4.4267% compared with a U.S. close of 4.456%. The repricing of higher rates began after strong U.S jobs growth in January, with employment rising 517,000, more than double economists expectations. The dollar index , which tracks the greenback against a basket of major trading partner currencies, was down marginally at 103.45 from its U.S. trading levels.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) bounced slightly 0.4%, after U.S. stocks ended the previous session with mild losses. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (.HSI) opened up 0.68% and China's bluechip CSI300 Index (.CSI300) was 0.3% higher in early trade. The repricing of higher rates began after strong U.S jobs growth in January, with employment rising 517,000, more than double economists expectations. The dollar index , which tracks the greenback against a basket of major trading partner currencies, was down marginally at 103.47 from its U.S. trading levels. Gold was slightly higher.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe expect Brent oil prices to be between $85 and $95 a barrel this year, says JPMorganKerry Craig of JPMorgan Asset Management says unless China's economy sees "an absolute surge in growth," oil prices are unlikely to hit over $100 a barrel this year.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) widened the allowable band for long-term yields to 50 basis points either side of its 0% target, from 25 basis points previously. European stock markets hit six-week lows, with the German (.GDAXI) and French benchmark indices (.FCHI) falling by as much as 1%, while London's FTSE 100 (.FTSE) lost as much as 0.8%. Japanese 10-year government bond yields surged to their highest since 2014, with euro zone yields following suit. The policy decision caused an immediate spike in the yen with the dollar index dropping 0.80% to 103.95, a six-month low. Credit Suisse on Monday upgraded its outlook from neutral to outperform for China's stock markets in the year ahead.
Bank of Japan makes surprise policy tweak
  + stars: | 2022-12-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +8 min
ATUSHI TAKEDA, CHIEF ECONOMIST, ITOCHU ECONOMIC RESEARCH, TOKYO:"Today's move reflects the BOJ's determination not to alter its yield cure control policy. CAROL KONG, CURRENCY STRATEGIST, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA, SYDNEY:"I think the move was certainly unexpected, to say the least. MOH SIONG SIM, CURRENCY STRATEGIST, BANK OF SINGAPORE:"They've widened the band, and I guess that came earlier than expected. CHRISTOPHER WONG, CURRENCY STRATEGIST, OCBC, SINGAPORE:"The timing of the policy tweak is a surprise, though we have been expecting the move to come in 2Q 2023. "The tweak may seem modest but is significant for a central bank that has held dovish for a long time.
Japan's Nikkei Stock Index (.N225) shed 2.2% after trading in positive territory earlier in the day, as stocks resumed trading following the BOJ decision. The dollar dropped 2.43% against the yen to 133.62 after the BOJ decision, hitting a four-month low. In early European futures trading, the pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures were down 0.89% at 3,784, German DAX futures were down 0.91% at 13,888, FTSE futures were down 0.63% at 7,321. U.S. stock futures, the S&P 500 e-minis , were down 0.52% at 3,825.5. In Asian trading, the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes rose to 3.6752% compared with its U.S. close of 3.583% on Monday.
Bank of Japan reviews yield-curve control policy
  + stars: | 2022-12-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Dec 20 (Reuters) - The Bank of Japan has slightly loosened the shackles on its 10-year yield target and said it will review its yield-curve control policy, surprising financial markets and sending the yen sharply higher. However, it is only a first step and yield-curve control (YCC) remains in place, as does negative rate strategy. CAROL KONG, CURRENCY STRATEGIST, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA, SYDNEY:"I think the move was certainly unexpected, to say the least. MOH SIONG SIM, CURRENCY STRATEGIST, BANK OF SINGAPORE:"They've widened the band, and I guess that came earlier than expected. CHRISTOPHER WONG, CURRENCY STRATEGIST, OCBC, SINGAPORE:"The timing of the policy tweak is a surprise, though we have been expecting the move to come in 2Q 2023.
China is pushing on with easing restrictions after three years of COVID-19 lockdowns which is leaving to investors to question how financial markets will react to the reopening. "Once they do reopen, there will be positive sentiment and China will become a growth story for the world again." Australian shares (.AXJO) on Tuesday were down 0.72%, while Japan's Nikkei stock index (.N225) rose 0.34%. In Asian trading, the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes rose to 3.5993% compared with its U.S. close of 3.583% on Monday. "The subsequent hawkish Fed policy update remains fresh in the minds of investors," NAB analyst wrote on Tuesday.
Philippines' annual inflation data for November soared 8% year-on-year, marking the country's highest inflation in 14 years as food prices soar, according to data from the Philippines Statistics Authority. Its surge was driven primarily by costlier food prices. Recent typhoons have hammered the production of crops like vegetables, rice and fruits, driving food prices higher. Core inflation, which excludes volatile energy and food prices, rose by 6.5%. He said the Philippines will be ramping up food production in a bid to ease price pressures.
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